Definition
The strategic period, typically 6-18 months after a major model release, when individual investment in
learning is highest-leverage. During this window, the model's capabilities are fixed (Cathedral Clock has
stopped), but societal best practices are fluid (Bazaar Clock is early). Individuals who master the tools
during this window establish "Skill Alpha." Before this window, the tools are too unstable; after it, they
are commodified.
Strategic Timing
Don't be the first to adopt (you will be debugging the system for free). Don't be the last (you will be
competing with standardized playbooks). Be in the second wave, where the "Capability-Mastery Gap" is
closing but not closed.
Field Notes & Ephemera
Field Note: The best time to plant a tree was twenty years ago. The best time to learn
prompt engineering is six months after the model dropped.